Sūrah Ar-Rūm 30:1-4
The Byzantine Return to Victory
الٓمٓ ﴿١﴾ غُلِبَتِ ٱلرُّومُ ﴿٢﴾ فِىٓ أَدْنَى ٱلْأَرْضِ وَهُم مِّنۢ بَعْدِ غَلَبِهِمْ سَيَغْلِبُونَ ﴿٣﴾ فِى بِضْعِ سِنِينَ ۗ لِلَّهِ ٱلْأَمْرُ مِن قَبْلُ وَمِنۢ بَعْدُ ۚ وَيَوْمَئِذٍ يَفْرَحُ ٱلْمُؤْمِنُونَ ﴿٤﴾
“Alif, Lām, Mīm. The Byzantines have been defeated, in the nearest land. But they, after their defeat, will overcome within three to nine years. To Allah belongs the command before and after. And on that day, the believers will rejoice.”
Context at revelation
Revealed in Makkah, approximately 614 to 615 CE, shortly after the Sasanian Persian Empire defeated the Byzantines and captured Jerusalem in 614 CE. At the time, the Persians looked unstoppable. The Byzantines had lost their major cities, their True Cross had been taken as war booty, and they were considered a finished power. The polytheists of Makkah openly mocked the believers, saying: the Persians (fire-worshippers) defeated the Byzantines (People of the Book), just as we Quraysh will defeat you.
Historical fulfillment
The Arabic word biḍʿ (بضع) specifically means three to nine years. Exactly within this window, in 624 CE (around the same time as the Battle of Badr), Byzantine emperor Heraclius launched a decisive counter-offensive. By 627 CE, at the Battle of Nineveh, the Persian army was shattered. By 628 CE, the Persian emperor Khosrow II was deposed and killed, the Persian Empire was effectively destroyed, and the True Cross was returned to Jerusalem. A complete reversal of the 614 situation, within the stated timeframe.
Scholarly commentary
Ibn Kathīr notes in his tafsīr that Abū Bakr as-Ṣiddīq رضي الله عنه accepted a wager from the Makkan Ubayy ibn Khalaf on the outcome (before gambling was forbidden), staking camels on the Byzantines winning within a certain number of years. After bid' was clarified by the Prophet ﷺ, Abū Bakr renegotiated the terms and eventually collected 100 camels when the prophecy was fulfilled. This event is recorded in Tirmidhī, Musnad Aḥmad, and the major tafāsīr.
Supporting sources
- •Tafsīr Ibn Kathīr, commentary on Sūrah Ar-Rūm 30:1-4
- •Tafsīr aṭ-Ṭabarī, Jāmiʿ al-Bayān on Ar-Rūm
- •Jāmiʿ at-Tirmidhī 3193 (the account of Abū Bakr's wager)
- •Historical records: Battle of Nineveh (627 CE), Treaty of 628 CE between Heraclius and Kavadh II
- •The Oxford History of Byzantium, on the Heraclian dynasty's counter-offensive